Romney Leading by 8 Points? Perhaps, If One Looks at Unskewed Polls!

By John W. Lillpop

Anyone who has been following the presidential election polls with any intensity knows that there is something crazy going on!

Barack Obama’s economy is stuck in a quagmire of trillion-dollar deficits and ghastly unemployment; his Cairo Initiative has backfired into a messy anti-American uprising by Islamofascists in North Africa and the Middle East; Obama’s foreign policy is a nasty mix of self-deprecation and outright surrender to the most extreme Muslims imaginable; consumer confidence is in retreat and most Americans believe that the nation is worse off now than four years ago; the Afghanistan war is rapidly shedding any resemblance to the “smart” war that Obama declared four years ago.

At every turn, the Obama magic is gone and the reality of clueless leadership is ripping apart America as we know it.

Besides being all agog over ideology that simply does work, Obama is proving to be thoroughly incompetent and unsuited for his job based on raw ability.

His is a stunning combination of ideological silliness with pronounced ineptness.

Notwithstanding Obama’s record, in poll after poll, America’s amateur president defies logic and common sense by polling better than Mitt Romney, albeit by the smallest of margins.

Still, the fact that Obama is still in the hunt is amazing.

Why one wonders?

Perhaps the answer is that Obama is NOT ahead at all!

As reported at the reference, skewed polls may be giving the community organizer support where it actually does not exist:

NEW YORK – Arguing that most of the major polls reported by establishment media are “skewed” in favor of the Democratic a website contends that a true gauge of the presidential race, based on more realistic models, shows Republican challenger Mitt Romney leading by an average of nearly eight points.

In its daily readjustment of the polling data, UnskewedPoll.com also produces a table showing the spread in President Obama’s approval/disapproval ratio is an average of 8.8 percent more disapproval, as of Monday.

Not a single major poll or approval/disapproval index favors Obama when Unskewed.com’s analysis is applied.

The website says there is Democratic bias in polling because of over-sampling Democrats based on voter exit polls in the 2008 presidential election, when enthusiasm for a then relatively unknown but charismatic presidential candidate boosted Democratic Party voter registration and turnout to historic levels.

Republicans have complained that the establishment media’s voter-turnout models can serve a partisan purpose by presenting margins that keep discouraged Republican voters at home thinking the election is already lost.

Signs Obama losing

Despite the establishment media narrative that the Romney campaign is behind and in disarray, there are abundant signs the Obama campaign is behind and scrambling not to lose further ground:

 On Saturday, Obama campaign manager Jim Messina insisted to reporters that despite national polls showing Romney and Obama locked in a tie, Obama is still winning.

 WND reported last week Obama’s chief financier, Penny Pritzker, has entered the Hawaii housing market to buy a retirement home for the president and his family that will be available not in 2016, but in January 2013.

 On the eve of the opening session of the General Assembly, the Obama administration’s Middle Eastern policy appears to be imploding in the wake of the murder of U.S. Ambassador Christopher Stevens in an attack that intelligence sources believe was coordinated by jihadists tied to al-Qaida. The administration, nevertheless, insisted the attack was a response to an anti-Muslim movie trailer produced in the U.S.

 Initial jobless claims for the week ending Sept. 15 were a seasonally adjusted 382,000, exceeding forecasts of 375,000, suggesting no improvement in the percentage of Americans unemployed could be anticipated before the November election, as reported by Wall Street Journal Market Watch.

 Politico has reported that in the latest Politico-George Washington University Battleground Poll with middle-class families, which constitute approximately 54 percent of the electorate and usually split their vote between Democratic and Republican candidates, Romney holds a 14-point advantage, 55 percent to 41 percent.”

All of this may be pointing to a Romney rout six weeks hence.

Let’s hope so!