16.9.14

Feeling “Queasy” About GOP Prospects for Elections!


By John W. Lillpop


For months on end, Republicans have basked in the glow of election projections which generally forecast a robust take over of the US Senate by the GOP.

At last, we cheered, Harry Reid will be replaced as Majority Leader of the Senate. Even more importantly, the GOP Senate would be empowered to thwart Barack Obama’s tyrannical designs on America, at least partially.

Supreme Court nominations would have to go through a GOP Senate, and the Senate could bond with the House in pushing for fiduciary responsibility and restraints on spending.

Despite all the seemingly good news for the GOP, lurking in the background was the haunting thought that the 2012 election had seemed, for a while, as a shoo-in for Republicans.

After all, unemployment and economic news was nearly all bad and the nation was in constant turmoil surrounding the excesses of the most liberal president in US history.

Still, somehow, when the votes were all counted, Barack Obama had won re-election, despite one of the rockiest first terms of any president.

Since 2012, things have gotten dramatically worse for America under the ultra-left, wrong-headed policies of Barack Obama.

From ObamaCare, to return to war in Iraq, to the creation of ISIS, to the border crises, Barack Obama has failed to mitigate America’s major problems and, in fact, has made things measurably worse.

Quite deservedly, Barack Obama is now seen as untrustworthy, incompetent, and, to many, insufficiently dedicated to the American brand.

He has failed on every count and is ignoring the rule of law and the Constitution at will, it seems.

Obama’s plunging poll numbers seemed to suggest that the America public has finally wised up to the One and would, as a result, elect a GOP Congress to counter the Marxist impulses of Barack Obama.

That may still happen.

Nonetheless, a new poll released today gives the Democrats a 51% chance of keeping the Senate.

Ouch!

As reported at the reference:


Democrats are now (very slightly) favored to hold the Senate majority on Nov. 4, according to Election Lab, the Post's statistical model of the 2014 midterm elections.

Election Lab puts Democrats' chances of retaining their majority at 51 percent --  a huge change from even a few months ago when the model predicted that Republicans had a better than 80 percent chance of winning the six seats they need to take control. (Worth noting: When the model showed Republicans as overwhelming favorites, our model builders -- led by George Washington University's John Sides -- warned that the model could and would change as more actual polling -- as opposed to historical projections -- played a larger and larger role in the calculations. And, in Republicans' defense, no one I talked to ever thought they had an 80 percent chance of winning the majority.)”

This is just one poll and it may be wrong.

Still, when it comes to the 2014 election, “Queasy” describes perfectly how this conservative feels!



http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/09/16/democrats-now-have-a-51-percent-chance-of-holding-the-senate/